The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pobla de Mafumet 47.2%
Draw 30.2%
Vilafranca 22.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52%
26.8%
21.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.6%
26%
20.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pobla de Mafumet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
Vilafranca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pobla de Mafumet than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pobla de Mafumet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilafranca than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Barragan J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 1 - 1, Ruiz E. ⚽,
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Pobla de Mafumet won 2.
Recent matches Pobla de Mafumet is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Vilafranca is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Pobla de Mafumet could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Pobla de Mafumet is a favorite.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Pobla de Mafumet won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Pobla de Mafumet won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-3.