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Current Win Probability
Tona 44.4%
Draw 29%
Pobla de Mafumet 26.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.9%
29.4%
28.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.6%
28.3%
27.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Pobla de Mafumet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tona than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pobla de Mafumet than the current prediction. (+1%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Salarich N. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
60', 1 - 1, Guzman S. ⚽,
72', 2 - 1, Aimar ⚽,
81', 2 - 2, Igbineweka L. ⚽,
83', 3 - 2, Quer P. ⚽,
Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: ) and 12).
Tona is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Pobla de Mafumet is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Tona could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Tona will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Tona won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Tona won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.