Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 26

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday


	Gran Peña		Juventud Cambados

	1	X	2
	1.98	3	3.65
	1.9	3.22	4
	1.96	3.13	3.89	Watch
	2	3	3.6
	1.92	3.55	3.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.85)	3.18 ↓ (3.21)	3.78 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gran Peña
46.9%

Draw
28.8%

Juventud Cambados
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

28.1%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

27.7%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gran Peña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Juventud Cambados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud Cambados than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Gran Peña - Juventud Cambados Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gran Peña will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Nunokawa G. ⚽,
34', 2 - 0, Fontan Davila M. ⚽,
40', 3 - 0, Eduardo A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
70', 3 - 1, ⚽,
76', 4 - 1, Eduardo A. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 15).

Gran Peña is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Cambados has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Gran Peña is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Gran Peña won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Gran Pena	5	2	1	2	8:8	0	7

Last Results with these Odds

Gran Peña - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 48.75%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gran Peña FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
14.03.26	Boiro - Gran Peña	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Gran Peña - Barco	4:2 ✺
22.02.26	Gran Peña - Estradense	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Somozas - Gran Peña	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Gran Peña - Montañeros	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TWWTT
- Juventud Cambados
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
15.03.26	Juventud Cambados - Silva SD	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Céltiga - Juventud Cambados	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Juventud Cambados - Compostela	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Juventud Cambados - Boiro	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	Barco - Juventud Cambados	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
02.11.25	Juventud Cambados - Gran Peña	0:1

Gran Peña - Juventud Cambados: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide