Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 21

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Gran Peña		Pontevedra B

	1	X	2
	1.2	5.25	13
	1.19	5.39	11.95
	1.18	5.6	13.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.19 ↓ (1.41)	5.41 ↑ (3.75)	12.72 ↑ (7.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gran Peña
76.1%

Draw
16.7%

Pontevedra B
7.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

24.2%

11.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.2%

22.8%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gran Peña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gran Peña's performance.

Pontevedra B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gran Peña than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gran Peña that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pontevedra B than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Gran Peña is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pontevedra B is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pontevedra B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gran Peña is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Gran Peña to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gran Peña won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gran Peña FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
10.02.24	Bergantiños - Gran Peña	0:0 ✺
04.02.24	Gran Peña - Arosa	3:0 ✺
21.01.24	Betanzos - Gran Peña	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Gran Peña - Silva SD	3:2 ✺
07.01.24	Estradense - Gran Peña	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWTWW
- Pontevedra B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
11.02.24	Pontevedra B - Rápido de Bouzas	0:3 ✺
04.02.24	Viveiro - Pontevedra B	5:1 ✺
27.01.24	Pontevedra B - Atlético Arteixo	0:2 ✺
20.01.24	Pontevedra B - Somozas	2:0 ✺
14.01.24	Alondras - Pontevedra B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
30.09.23	Pontevedra B - Gran Peña	0:2

Gran Peña - Pontevedra B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide