Match Info

Date: 13 November 2020, Friday


	Gran Valencia		Monagas

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.2	2.2
	3.1	3.05	2.19
	3.34	2.9	2.14
	3.3	3	2.15
	3.6	3.1	2.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↑ (2.03)	3.05 ↓ (3.18)	2.16 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gran Valencia
28%

Draw
29.9%

Monagas
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.2%

28.2%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

19.6%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gran Valencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gran Valencia's form might have worsened.

Monagas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Monagas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gran Valencia than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	1.4%	88.6%

Gran Valencia - Monagas Predictions

Users Predictions: 70 users predict this event. Gran Valencia will win (votes: 7 - 10%). Monagas will win (votes: 62 - 88.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 1.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monagas: 81.2% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 and 5).

Gran Valencia is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Monagas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gran Valencia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Monagas will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Gran Valencia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 0-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Gran Valencia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gran Valencia FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
08.11.20	Zamora - Gran Valencia	1:0 ✺
06.11.20	Gran Valencia - Metropolitanos	1:1 ✺
02.11.20	Aragua - Gran Valencia	1:1 ✺
30.10.20	Gran Valencia - Caracas	0:4 ✺
26.10.20	Portuguesa - Gran Valencia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTTLT
- Monagas SC
Venezuelan Primera Division
08.11.20	Monagas - Portuguesa	1:0 ✺
05.11.20	Monagas - Aragua	1:0 ✺
01.11.20	Caracas - Monagas	1:0 ✺
29.10.20	Zamora - Monagas	1:0 ✺
26.10.20	Monagas - Deportivo Táchira	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
08.03.20	Monagas - Gran Valencia	3:0
Copa Venezuela
06.07.16	Monagas - Gran Valencia	6:0
28.06.16	Gran Valencia - Monagas	0:4

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