Match Info

Date: 6 May 2022, Friday


	Monagas		Aragua

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.77	3.3	4.1	Watch
	1.9	2.9	3.85
	1.89	3.15	3.75
	1.85	3.26	3.75
	1.85	3	4.4
	1.88	3.22	4.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.75)	3.14 ↓ (3.3)	4.04 ↓ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Monagas
48.8%

Draw
28.8%

Aragua
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

27.7%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

26.4%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monagas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Aragua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monagas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aragua than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Monagas - Aragua Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Monagas will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Aragua will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monagas: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Copa Libertadores ~ Play Offs) and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Monagas won 0.

Monagas is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Aragua is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Aragua could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Monagas is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Monagas won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Monagas won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monagas SC
Venezuelan Primera Division
30.04.22	Caracas - Monagas	2:2 ✺
23.04.22	Monagas - Universidad Central	1:0 ✺
14.04.22	Academia Puerto Cabello - Monagas	0:2 ✺
08.04.22	Monagas - Zulia	2:0 ✺
02.04.22	Hermanos Colmenares - Monagas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWWWL
- Aragua FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
28.04.22	Aragua - Deportivo Lara	1:1 ✺
21.04.22	Deportivo La Guaira - Aragua	3:3 ✺
15.04.22	Aragua - Carabobo	1:1 ✺
07.04.22	Zamora - Aragua	1:1 ✺
02.04.22	Aragua - Zulia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
30.11.20	Aragua - Monagas	3:2
05.11.20	Monagas - Aragua	1:0
23.08.19	Aragua - Monagas	1:1
03.03.19	Monagas - Aragua	0:1
26.09.18	Aragua - Monagas	0:1
25.03.18	Monagas - Aragua	2:2
22.07.17	Monagas - Aragua	1:0

Upcoming Matches