The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Caracas 46.1%
Draw 28.1%
Monagas 25.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.9%
27.7%
23.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.5%
27.4%
23.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caracas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Monagas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caracas than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Caracas - Monagas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Benitez F. (G) 2. Fereira Penaranda E. E. 4. Quintero J. 14. La Mantia F. (C) 13. Yendis J. 8. Gudino I. 15. Larotonda C. 39. Villarreal A. 33. Correa W. 7. Robert Hernandez 9. De Santis J.
12. Riveros T. (G) 30. De La Hoz K. 17. Paz J. 21. Rodas A. 29. Henry N. 26. Castillo D. 5. Colorado J. 6. Romero A. 7. Basante F. 9. Rodriguez R. 10. Gonzalez L. (C)
Substitutes
38. Barrios E. 10. Covea M. 22. Figueroa A. 27. Gonzalez S. 35. Lezama R. 41. Lopez A. 20. Maestre Nino L. A. 11. Marquez M. 34. Martinez Aponte C. A. 17. Reinoso L. 12. Vegas J. (G) 5. Vegas M.
16. Carrion E. 27. Farias E. 14. Jaramillo F. 33. Lima E. (G) 62. Manrique A. 35. Natera S. 3. Queiroz F. 77. Rodriguez L. 11. Uruena B.
Coaches
Sanvicente N.
Ortiz J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
33', Larotonda C. 🟨,
39', 0 - 1, Rodriguez R. ⚽, De La Hoz K. (A),
42', De Santis J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Larotonda C. ↓, Martinez Aponte C. A. ↑,
46', De Santis J. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
47', Colorado J. 🟨,
47', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
59', Villarreal A. 🟨,
66', Correa W. ↓, Vegas M. ↑,
66', Robert Hernandez ↓, Covea M. ↑,
68', Castillo D. ↓, Carrion E. ↑,
68', Rodriguez R. ↓, Farias E. ↑,
73', Gonzalez L. ↓, Jaramillo F. ↑,
73', Villarreal A. ↓, Figueroa A. ↑,
77', Romero A. 🟨,
80', Vegas M. 🟨,
81', Basante F. ↓, Queiroz F. ↑,
81', Colorado J. ↓, Natera S. ↑,
90+4', De La Hoz K. 🟨,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 9 and 11)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 0.
Caracas is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Monagas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Caracas could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Caracas won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:22. (average 1.7:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Caracas won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.8:1.1).