Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 12

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Granada B		Castellón

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.75	1.6
	5	3.6	1.55
	5.5	3.75	1.57	Watch
	5.81	3.65	1.61
	5.81	3.65	1.62
	5.6	3.65	1.59
	4.9	3.65	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.34 ↑ (4.01)	3.67 ↑ (3)	1.59 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Granada B
17.2%

Draw
25%

Castellón
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

29.4%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

28.3%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granada B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Castellón's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada B than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Castellón, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Granada B - Castellón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lopez A. (G) 2. Castro R. 5. Bosch M. 23. Lopez D. 30. Rodelas S. 15. Sangare L. 6. Masllorens J. 29. Mortimer N. 7. Gonzalez M. 10. Perez C. 9. Julito	1. Crettaz G. (G) 12. Chirino D. 14. Gil O. 17. Ruiz S. 16. Sanchez M. 8. Gracia J. 23. Calavera J. 6. Rodriguez C. 10. Sanchez R. 11. De Leon J. 9. de Miguel J.
Substitutes
17. Ballo K. 20. Clavijo D. 16. Griger A. 19. Ibarrondo A. 41. Jerez (G) 32. Lopez H. 26. Lozano J. 14. Saenz P. 11. Talaveron D. 13. Tristan P. (G)	5. Albert J. 2. Granero B. 20. Gronning S. 18. Indias I. 21. Kastaneer G. 4. Medunjanin H. 7. Moyita S. 13. Salvato A. (G) 24. Schwake B. (G) 22. Suero I. 15. Traore M. 19. Villahermosa D.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).

Granada B is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Castellón is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Castellón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Castellón is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Granada B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
04.11.23	Antequera - Granada B	5:2 ✺
28.10.23	Granada B - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:1 ✺
22.10.23	Granada B - Ibiza	0:1 ✺
15.10.23	San Fernando - Granada B	2:1 ✺
08.10.23	Granada B - Alcoyano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLT
- CD Castellón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
05.11.23	Castellón - Alcoyano	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.23	Cacereño - Castellón	2:3 ET ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.10.23	San Fernando - Castellón	2:0 ✺
22.10.23	Castellón - Atlético Madrid B	2:0 ✺
15.10.23	Ceuta - Castellón	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLWW

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