Match Info

Kakkonen Group A

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Kauniaisten keskuskenttä (Kauniainen)


	Grankulla IFK		Lahden Reipas

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.6	2.5
	2.15	3.75	2.85
	2.17	3.61	2.75
				Watch
	2.19	3.72	2.8
	2.17	3.71	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↑ (2.17)	3.68 ↓ (3.71)	2.66 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grankulla IFK
41.4%

Draw
24.6%

Lahden Reipas
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

23.4%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

22.4%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grankulla IFK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Lahden Reipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grankulla IFK than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lahden Reipas than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Grankulla IFK - Lahden Reipas Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Reipas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rintamaki O. (G) 18. Arima S. 11. Brahimi L. 7. Deen T. 28. Gela X. 13. Hellsten H. 4. Kouyate B. 21. Mustalampi J. 10. Ndongala J. (C) 8. Rubensson V. 29. Tuuva S.	30. Tiainen J. (G) 24. Ala-Kauhaluoma L. 26. Hattunen A. 27. Helttunen O. 14. Kose B. 18. Kurki V. (C) 21. Niskanen R. 22. Nykanen H. 23. Oksanen N. 11. Traore B. 17. Vatanen M.
Substitutes
2. Andersson A. 23. Kallio A. 9. Leivo J. 3. Makela V. 27. Norhomaa N. 12. Prevedouros C. (G) 6. Tahiri K.	5. Friberg J. 3. Nieminen J. 9. Niskanen O. 8. Paalanen A. 13. Ratto V. (G) 19. Riihela E. 25. Vaisanen K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', Deen T. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Helttunen O. ⚽,
45+3', Kurki V. 🟨,
45+3', Helttunen O. ↓, Paalanen A. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', Nykanen H. 🟨,
59', Rubensson V. ↓, Kallio A. ↑,
59', Brahimi L. ↓, Norhomaa N. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Arima S. ⚽,
70', Hellsten H. ↓, Andersson A. ↑,
73', Traore B. 🟨,
73', Kallio A. 🟨,
82', 1 - 2, Riihela E. ⚽,
84', Gela X. ↓, Leivo J. ↑,
84', Kouyate B. ↓, Makela V. ↑,
88', Nykanen H. ↓, Friberg J. ↑,
88', Kose B. ↓, Vaisanen K. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 2, Deen T. ⚽,
90+4', Friberg J. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 in the zone Kakkonen Group A (Losers stage: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group A (Winners stage: )).

GrIFK has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Reipas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

GrIFK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, GrIFK won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, GrIFK won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grankulla IFK
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
06.07.25	JPS - Grankulla IFK	3:3 ✺
02.07.25	Grankulla IFK - MYPA	0:3 ✺
27.06.25	PEPO Lappeenranta - Grankulla IFK	2:1 ✺
15.06.25	Grankulla IFK - Honka	1:3 ✺
06.06.25	Vaajakoski - Grankulla IFK	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLLLW
- Lahden Reipas
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
08.07.25	Haminan Pallo-Kissat - Lahden Reipas	2:3 ✺
04.07.25	Lahden Reipas - VJS Vantaa	1:5 ✺
28.06.25	Honka - Lahden Reipas	5:3 ✺
15.06.25	Lahden Reipas - Vaajakoski	3:1 ✺
08.06.25	MYPA - Lahden Reipas	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group A
11.05.25	Lahden Reipas - Grankulla IFK	4:3
14.09.24	Lahden Reipas - Grankulla IFK	1:2
21.07.24	Grankulla IFK - Lahden Reipas	0:0
18.05.24	Lahden Reipas - Grankulla IFK	1:1

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