Match Info

Kakkonen Group A - Losers stage

Date: 4 September 2026, Friday

Location: Kymenlaakson Sähkö Stadion (Kouvola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	MYPA		Lahden Reipas

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.80	1.93
	3.05	3.85	1.88
	2.97	3.95	2.06
	3.13	3.98	1.91	Watch
	2.90	3.65	2.03
	2.88	4.08	2.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↓ (3.71)	3.89 ↓ (4.03)	1.99 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MYPA
30.6%

Draw
23.5%

Lahden Reipas
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

22.3%

53.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

21.2%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MYPA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in MYPA's performance.

Lahden Reipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lahden Reipas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MYPA than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lahden Reipas than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

MYPA - Lahden Reipas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Voutilainen N. (G) 19. Ahola K. 3. Erjanko J. 4. Eskelinen O. 9. Haimi O. 15. Hernesniemi S. 13. Kahkonen O. (C) 37. Niemi V. 14. Piira V. 22. Pykalainen P. 34. Rautomaki N.	31. Harkonen O. (G) 24. Helttunen O. 17. Jarvinen L. 5. Kautonen T. 10. Kose B. (C) 12. Ndabawedje E. 22. Nykanen H. 8. Paalanen A. 20. Salmensuu E. 18. Saltykov T. 25. Vaisanen K.
Substitutes
26. Kaddouri K. 61. Karppanen V. 1. Laine L. (G) 16. Rama J. 28. Rauhala O. 8. Ritola N. 20. Saarelainen A. 27. Turunen V.	15. Ayri H. 26. Babiker A. 11. Belhout Y. 30. Haapsaari P. (G) 21. Kuparinen E. 19. Verkko M. 7. Viitanen V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Ahola K. ⚽,
13', 2 - 0, Niemi V. ⚽,
19', Vaisanen K. 🟨,
25', 3 - 0, Haimi O. ⚽,
36', 3 - 1, Salmensuu E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', Erjanko J. 🟨,
59', Piira V. ↓, Rama J. ↑,
59', Rautomaki N. ↓, Turunen V. ↑,
64', Salmensuu E. ↓, Belhout Y. ↑,
76', 4 - 1, Haimi O. ⚽,
80', Kautonen T. 🟨,
80', Pykalainen P. ↓, Ritola N. ↑,
81', 5 - 1, Turunen V. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MYPA won 0.

MYPA has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Reipas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Reipas is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, MYPA won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:26. (average 1.5:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, MYPA won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MYPA
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
22.08.26	MYPA - Puistolan Urheilijat	2:1 ✺
13.08.26	PPJ Ruoholahti - MYPA	2:1 ✺
07.08.26	PEPO Lappeenranta - MYPA	4:1 ✺
01.08.26	MYPA - Kiffen 08	0:0 ✺
25.07.26	Lahden Reipas - MYPA	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLTL
- Lahden Reipas
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
22.08.26	Union Plaani - Lahden Reipas	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	Lahden Reipas - PEPO Lappeenranta	1:2 ✺
07.08.26	Atlantis Helsinki - Lahden Reipas	4:2 ✺
02.08.26	Lahden Reipas - PPJ Ruoholahti	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Lahden Reipas - MYPA	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group A
25.07.26	Lahden Reipas - MYPA	4:2
16.05.26	MYPA - Lahden Reipas	0:5
09.08.25	Lahden Reipas - MYPA	4:2
08.06.25	MYPA - Lahden Reipas	1:3
03.07.24	Lahden Reipas - MYPA	5:0
26.04.24	MYPA - Lahden Reipas	3:1
20.08.21	MYPA - Lahden Reipas	2:1

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