Match Info

Date: 9 October 2021, Saturday


	Grantham Town		Bamber Bridge

	1	X	2
	3.7	4	1.66
	3.9	3.8	1.69
	4.16	3.98	1.75
	3.75	4	1.67
	3.95	3.96	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↓ (3.9)	3.95 ↓ (3.97)	1.7 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grantham Town
23.4%

Draw
23.1%

Bamber Bridge
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

22.8%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

18.7%

65.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grantham Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Bamber Bridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grantham Town than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bamber Bridge than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bamber Bridge could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Grantham Town - Bamber Bridge Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)).

Grantham is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bamber is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Grantham could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bamber is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Grantham won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Grantham won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grantham Town
English NPL Premier Division
05.10.21	Stalybridge Celtic - Grantham Town	5:0 ✺
02.10.21	Witton Albion - Grantham Town	1:4 ✺
28.09.21	Grantham Town - Nantwich Town	0:1 ✺
25.09.21	Grantham Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:2 ✺
14.09.21	Ashton United - Grantham Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLLT
- Bamber Bridge
English NPL Premier Division
05.10.21	Bamber Bridge - South Shields	3:0 ✺
28.09.21	Mickleover Sports - Bamber Bridge	0:1 ✺
25.09.21	Bamber Bridge - Matlock Town	2:4 ✺
14.09.21	United of Manchester - Bamber Bridge	1:0 ✺
11.09.21	Scarborough Athletic - Bamber Bridge	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
08.02.20	Bamber Bridge - Grantham Town	2:1
21.09.19	Grantham Town - Bamber Bridge	1:0
05.01.19	Bamber Bridge - Grantham Town	3:1
18.08.18	Grantham Town - Bamber Bridge	1:1

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