Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 35

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday


	Bamber Bridge		Matlock Town

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	2.5
	2.45	3.5	2.46
	2.48	3.61	2.48
	2.52	3.66	2.52	Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.45
	2.44	3.44	2.44
	2.45	3.5	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.22)	3.5 ↑ (3.48)	2.47 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bamber Bridge
37.3%

Draw
26%

Matlock Town
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

26.3%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

24.6%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bamber Bridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Matlock Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bamber Bridge than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matlock Town than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Bamber Bridge - Matlock Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', 1 - 0, Bange E. ⚽,
76', 2 - 0, Baxter J. ⚽,
83', 3 - 0, Cleary R. ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bamber won 2.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Recently Bamber have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Bamber won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 19:19 (average 1.6:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Bamber won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:10 (average 2.5:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Bamber Bridge - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.11%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bamber Bridge
English NPL Premier Division
08.03.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Bamber Bridge	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Bamber Bridge - Blyth Spartans	5:1 ✺
22.02.25	Morpeth Town - Bamber Bridge	2:2 ✺
18.02.25	Prescot Cables - Bamber Bridge	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	United of Manchester - Bamber Bridge	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWTLL
- Matlock Town
English NPL Premier Division
08.03.25	Matlock Town - Guiseley	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Macclesfield Town - Matlock Town	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Matlock Town - Stockton Town	2:3 ✺
18.02.25	Matlock Town - Ashton United	2:2 ✺
15.02.25	Basford United - Matlock Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
09.11.24	Matlock Town - Bamber Bridge	3:2
16.12.23	Bamber Bridge - Matlock Town	2:1
12.08.23	Matlock Town - Bamber Bridge	0:0
15.04.23	Matlock Town - Bamber Bridge	1:0
26.11.22	Bamber Bridge - Matlock Town	5:1
22.01.22	Matlock Town - Bamber Bridge	2:1
25.09.21	Bamber Bridge - Matlock Town	2:4

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