The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Grassina 17.4%
Draw 24.2%
Lucchese 58.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
18.8%
24.2%
57%
Our Initial ML Estimation
18.3%
23.5%
58.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grassina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Lucchese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grassina than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Grassina - Lucchese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Maloku R. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Gioe B. ⚽,
31', 2 - 1, Dini F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 5)
50', 2 - 2, ⚽,
54', 2 - 3, ⚽,
61', 2 - 4, ⚽,
64', 3 - 4, ⚽,
67', 3 - 5, ⚽,
73', 🟥,
73', 3 - 6, ⚽,
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 16th in the Serie D - Group E (Play Out: ) and 4th in the Promotion - Serie D - Group E Playoffs).
Recent results have been tough for Grassina (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Lucchese shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
In this matchup, Lucchese is considered the favorite to take the win.
No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.