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Current Win Probability
Seravezza Pozzi 27%
Draw 29.1%
Lucchese 43.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.4%
30.6%
24%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.2%
29.4%
23.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Seravezza Pozzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Seravezza Pozzi's form might have worsened.
Lucchese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lucchese's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seravezza Pozzi than the current prediction. (+20.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Seravezza Pozzi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (-20.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lucchese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Seravezza Pozzi - Lucchese Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 0 - 1, Lombardi L. (Penalty Awarded),
67', 1 - 1, Tognoni R. ⚽,
Penalties (3 - 5)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Seravezza Pozzi has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:2 (averaging 3.5:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Seravezza Pozzi against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 7:2 goals (averaging 3.5:1 per game).
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