Match Info
ITALY: Serie D - Group H - Round 18Date: 5 January 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Ugento |
|
Nocerina |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
6 |
3.7 |
1.47 |
|
 |
5.8 |
3.75 |
1.51 |
|
 |
|
|
|
 Watch |
 |
5 |
3.5 |
1.6 |
|
 |
6.44 |
3.8 |
1.47 |
|
 |
5.8 |
3.75 |
1.51 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.81 ↑
(5.04) |
3.7 ↑
(3.59) |
1.51 ↓
(1.61) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ugento
15.6% | Draw
24.5% | Nocerina
59.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ugento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Nocerina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ugento than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nocerina than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nocerina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Ugento - Nocerina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 9', 0 - 1, Marquez F. ⚽,
- 24', 0 - 2, Felleca F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 58', 1 - 2, Sanchez J. ⚽,
Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion). One and the other team get a very uncertain game. In this match Nocerina is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Ugento won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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