The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Grazer AK 36.6%
Draw 27.4%
Wolfsberger 36%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.3%
26.4%
42.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.4%
25.7%
43.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grazer AK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grazer AK's performance.
Wolfsberger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wolfsberger might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grazer AK than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grazer AK that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wolfsberger than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wolfsberger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Grazer AK - Wolfsberger Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Stankovic C. (G) 27. Oberleitner Y. 82. Owusu B. 2. Pines D. 28. Anderson 29. Guerti I. 8. Koch T. 32. Klassen L. 25. Hofleitner A. 9. Maderner D. (C) 34. Michorl P.
1. Gutlbauer L. (G) 6. Behounek R. 8. Piesinger S. 37. Wimmer N. (C) 31. Wohlmuth F. 30. Sulzner M. 19. Mamageishvili O. 11. Schwarz A. 23. Verhounig P. 10. Avdijaj D. 9. Vrioni G.
Substitutes
48. Gragger M. 11. Grosse M. 30. Hasenhuttl C. 14. Italiano J. 10. Lichtenberger C. 72. Markovic P. 1. Meierhofer J. (G) 26. Nicht C. (G) 52. Rumpl J.
34. Agyeman E. 12. Gliklich L. (G) 7. Hassler L. 49. Karamoko S. 35. Kitz M. 32. Pink M. 77. Renner R. 17. Schabauer M. 20. Schriebl T.
Coaches
Scheiblehner G.
Silberberger T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Wimmer N. 🟥,
20', Avdijaj D. ↓, Kitz M. ↑,
25', Silberberger T. 🟨,
27', Michorl P. 🟨,
27', Behounek R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Verhounig P. ↓, Schriebl T. ↑,
48', Pines D. 🟨,
61', Maderner D. 🟨,
61', Sulzner M. 🟨,
66', Maderner D. ↓, Grosse M. ↑,
71', Mamageishvili O. ↓, Agyeman E. ↑,
72', Schwarz A. ↓, Renner R. ↑,
74', Wohlmuth F. 🟨,
76', Guerti I. ↓, Lichtenberger C. ↑,
76', Anderson ↓, Italiano J. ↑,
80', Vrioni G. ↓, Karamoko S. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grazer won 1.
Grazer has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Wolfsberger is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Grazer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Grazer has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Grazer: Italiano J.
(Groin Injury)
Trummer T.
(Hamstring Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Grazer won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 1.5:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Grazer won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 2:2.3).
Outrights of Austrian Bundesliga for now
Wolfsberger AC: 0.51% Grazer AK: 0.44%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Grazer AK
7
2
2
3
6:16
-10
8
11
Wolfsberger AC
7
1
2
4
7:13
-6
5
Last Results with these Odds
Grazer AK - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 31.26%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.