Match Info

SWEDEN: Division 2 - Norra Götaland - Round 25

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday


	Grebbestad		Säffle

	1	X	2
	1.36	5	5.5
	1.35	5.5	6
	1.37	5.63	4.59
	1.4	5.57	5.18
	1.37	4.95	5.99
	1.35	5.5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↑ (1.33)	5.36 ↑ (4.9)	5.54 ↓ (6.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grebbestad
66.6%

Draw
17%

Säffle
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.3%

18.3%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

12.4%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grebbestad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Säffle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grebbestad than the current prediction. (-21.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grebbestad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Säffle than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Grebbestad - Säffle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Nyarko D. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
69', 2 - 0, Bjornsson D. ⚽,
75', 3 - 0, Henriksson A. ⚽,
77', 4 - 0, Bjornsson D. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Grebbestad is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Säffle has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Grebbestad could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Grebbestad is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Grebbestad won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.4:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Grebbestad won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grebbestads IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
04.10.24	Vänersborgs IF - Grebbestad	2:0 ✺
27.09.24	Herrestads - Grebbestad	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Grebbestad - Gauthiod	7:0 ✺
14.09.24	Grebbestad - Kumla	5:0 ✺
06.09.24	Vänersborgs FK - Grebbestad	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWWL
- Säffle SK
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
05.10.24	Säffle - IFK Skövde	1:3 ✺
29.09.24	Säffle - Vänersborgs IF	2:2 ✺
21.09.24	Forward - Säffle	3:0 ✺
14.09.24	Säffle - Lidkoping	0:1 ✺
07.09.24	Kongahälla - Säffle	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
15.06.24	Säffle - Grebbestad	0:2
07.10.23	Säffle - Grebbestad	4:1
22.06.23	Grebbestad - Säffle	1:0
12.08.22	Grebbestad - Säffle	1:2
22.04.22	Säffle - Grebbestad	0:2

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