Match Info

Division 2 - Norra Götaland - Round 14

Date: 24 June 2026, Wednesday


	Grebbestad		Kumla

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.40	2.25
	2.23	3.30	2.60
	2.48	3.60	2.38
	2.79	3.22	2.39	Watch
	2.50	3.10	2.40
	2.50	3.34	2.42
	2.23	3.35	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.24)	3.33 ↓ (3.43)	2.43 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grebbestad
36.3%

Draw
26.9%

Kumla
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

26.2%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

25.1%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grebbestad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Kumla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grebbestad than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grebbestad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kumla than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Grebbestad - Kumla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Andersson Segerlind J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 1 - 1, Ahmad Radi ⚽,
80', 2 - 1, (Own goal),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grebbestad won 2.

Grebbestad is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Kumla has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Grebbestad won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:20. (average 1.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Grebbestad won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 2:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Grebbestad	24	12	3	9	43:36	7	39
11	Kumla	25	6	8	11	26:45	-19	26

Last Results with these Odds

Kumla - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 33.86%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grebbestads IF
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
18.06.26	Grebbestad - Vänersborgs IF	4:3 ✺
12.06.26	IFK Skövde - Grebbestad	0:4 ✺
05.06.26	Grebbestad - Husqvarna	1:2 ✺
29.05.26	Vänersborgs FK - Grebbestad	2:3 ✺
23.05.26	Grebbestad - Motala	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WWLWW
- IFK Kumla
Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
18.06.26	Kumla - Tord	1:0 ✺
11.06.26	Motala - Kumla	0:0 ✺
07.06.26	Kumla - Ahlafors	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Kumla - Herrestads	1:2 ✺
22.05.26	IFK Skövde - Kumla	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norra Götaland
03.04.26	Kumla - Grebbestad	2:0
05.10.25	Kumla - Grebbestad	3:2
10.05.25	Grebbestad - Kumla	0:2
14.09.24	Grebbestad - Kumla	5:0
18.05.24	Kumla - Grebbestad	0:2
11.09.22	Kumla - Grebbestad	1:2
21.05.22	Grebbestad - Kumla	0:1

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