Match Info

Cymru North - Round 27

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday


	Ruthin Town		Gresford Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.75	2.62
	2.15	4.02	2.59
	2.17	3.97	2.8	Watch
	2.1	3.6	2.63
	2.15	3.88	2.64
	2	3.3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.41)	3.75 ↓ (3.94)	2.63 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ruthin Town
42.2%

Draw
23.8%

Gresford Athletic
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

22.8%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

22.3%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ruthin Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Gresford Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gresford Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ruthin Town than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ruthin Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gresford Athletic than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gresford Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ruthin Town - Gresford Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Ozlu H. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Holland D. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
88', 2 - 1, Forbes D. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ruthin Town won 2.

Ruthin Town is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gresford is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gresford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Ruthin Town won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ruthin Town won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 2.3:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Ruthin	10	2	2	6	9:20	-11	8
15	Gresford	9	2	1	6	6:21	-15	7

Last Results with these Odds

Ruthin Town - the odds 2.41 are the expected chance of winning is 37.38%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ruthin Town
Welsh Cymru North
13.03.26	Ruthin Town - Flint Mountain	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Mold Alexandra - Ruthin Town	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Rhyl - Ruthin Town	3:2 ✺
25.02.26	Ruthin Town - Airbus UK Broughton	0:4 ✺
14.02.26	Brickfield Rangers - Ruthin Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLLW
- Gresford Athletic
Welsh Cymru North
06.03.26	Newtown - Gresford Athletic	0:5 ✺
01.03.26	Gresford Athletic - Holyhead Hotspur	1:0 ✺
20.02.26	Gresford Athletic - Flint Mountain	3:0 ✺
13.02.26	Llandudno - Gresford Athletic	7:1 ✺
30.01.26	Gresford Athletic - Holywell Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
08.08.25	Gresford Athletic - Ruthin Town	2:1
01.01.25	Gresford Athletic - Ruthin Town	1:0
06.09.24	Ruthin Town - Gresford Athletic	4:0
29.03.24	Gresford Athletic - Ruthin Town	1:2
11.08.23	Ruthin Town - Gresford Athletic	1:1
18.02.23	Gresford Athletic - Ruthin Town	1:0
29.08.22	Ruthin Town - Gresford Athletic	3:1

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