Match Info

Cymru North - Round 23

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday


	Gresford Athletic		Flint Mountain

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.7	3.05
	1.94	3.98	3.07
	1.96	4.09	3.17	Watch
	1.95	3.5	3
	1.94	3.86	3.06
	1.94	3.8	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.4)	3.82 ↓ (3.92)	3.06 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gresford Athletic
46.6%

Draw
23.7%

Flint Mountain
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

23%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

22.9%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gresford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gresford Athletic's performance.

Flint Mountain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Flint Mountain might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gresford Athletic than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gresford Athletic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flint Mountain than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flint Mountain could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gresford Athletic - Flint Mountain Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gresford (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Ozlu H. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Hesp A. ⚽,
31', 3 - 0, Ozlu H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', (Penalty Awarded),
79', 🟥,
79', 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 10).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Flint Mountain may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Flint Mountain has had a series of home games.

Gresford will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gresford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 1.8:3).

Including home match between the teams, Gresford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:7.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Gresford	9	2	1	6	6:21	-15	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gresford Athletic
Welsh Cymru North
13.02.26	Llandudno - Gresford Athletic	7:1 ✺
30.01.26	Gresford Athletic - Holywell Town	3:2 ✺
23.01.26	Airbus UK Broughton - Gresford Athletic	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Gresford Athletic - Penrhyncoch	3:2 ✺
01.01.26	Denbigh Town - Gresford Athletic	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31 LWLWW
- Flint Mountain FC
Welsh Cymru North
10.02.26	Flint Mountain - Buckley Town	5:1 ✺
30.01.26	Flint Mountain - Denbigh Town	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Flint Mountain - Mold Alexandra	2:1 ✺
01.01.26	Airbus UK Broughton - Flint Mountain	3:1 ✺
26.12.25	Flint Mountain - Holywell Town	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
22.08.25	Flint Mountain - Gresford Athletic	4:4
17.01.25	Gresford Athletic - Flint Mountain	0:7
09.08.24	Flint Mountain - Gresford Athletic	1:0
Welsh League Cup
19.07.24	Flint Mountain - Gresford Athletic	0:3

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