Match Info

Cymru North - Round 19

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday


	Gresford Athletic		Penrhyncoch

	1	X	2
	2.58	3.65	2.25
	2.67	3.98	2.25	Watch
	2.5	3.7	2.15
	2.52	4.19	2.3
	2.54	3.66	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.3)	3.84 ↓ (4)	2.24 ↓ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gresford Athletic
35.6%

Draw
23.8%

Penrhyncoch
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

22.6%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

22.8%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gresford Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Penrhyncoch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gresford Athletic than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penrhyncoch than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Gresford Athletic - Penrhyncoch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Phillips D. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, Smith T. ⚽,
58', 2 - 1, Williams M. ⚽,
82', 2 - 2, Owen D. ⚽,
86', 3 - 2, Bryan S. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gresford won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Gresford won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Gresford won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 2.8:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Gresford	9	2	1	6	6:21	-15	7
16	Penrhyncoch	10	0	1	9	4:30	-26	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gresford Athletic
Welsh Cymru North
01.01.26	Denbigh Town - Gresford Athletic	2:3 ✺
27.12.25	Gresford Athletic - Brickfield Rangers	1:1 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
13.12.25	Barry Town United - Gresford Athletic	4:0 ✺
Welsh Cymru North
10.12.25	Buckley Town - Gresford Athletic	6:4 ✺
29.11.25	Gresford Athletic - Rhyl	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WTLLT
- Penrhyncoch FC
Welsh Cymru North
31.12.25	Penrhyncoch - Ruthin Town	1:1 ✺
27.12.25	Guilsfield - Penrhyncoch	0:1 ✺
05.12.25	Newtown - Penrhyncoch	1:1 ✺
29.11.25	Penrhyncoch - Buckley Town	6:0 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
22.11.25	Caernarfon Town - Penrhyncoch	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.7 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
17.08.24	Penrhyncoch - Gresford Athletic	2:4
15.04.23	Gresford Athletic - Penrhyncoch	3:2
30.07.22	Penrhyncoch - Gresford Athletic	1:0
09.04.22	Gresford Athletic - Penrhyncoch	4:2
06.11.21	Penrhyncoch - Gresford Athletic	2:1
18.01.20	Gresford Athletic - Penrhyncoch	2:1
Welsh Cymru Alliance
06.01.18	Gresford Athletic - Penrhyncoch	2:2

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