Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Relegation - Final

Date: 26 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer (Fürth)

Referee: Schroder R. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Greuther Fürth		Rot-Weiß Essen

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.33	4.33	Watch
	1.68	3.95	4.25	Watch
	1.76	4.4	4.41
	1.72	4.38	4.11	Watch
	1.7	4	4	Watch
	1.69	4.15	4.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.88)	4.2 ↑ (3.94)	4.23 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greuther Fürth
55.3%

Draw
22.4%

Rot-Weiß Essen
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

23.8%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

24.7%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greuther Fürth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Greuther Fürth's performance.

Rot-Weiß Essen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	3.1%	9.4%

Greuther Fürth - Rot Weiß Essen Predictions

Users Predictions: Greuther Fürth will win (28 of 32 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.04% – 98.96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
43. Prufrock S. (G) 23. Dehm J. 15. Elvedi J. 4. Ziereis P. 27. Itter G. 6. Banse S. 13. Will P. 30. Klaus F. 10. Hrgota B. (C) 47. Ltaief S. 9. Futkeu N.	1. Golz J. (C) 23. Rios Alonso J. 15. Huning B. 33. Kraulich T. 37. Hofmann J. 24. Mizuta K. 39. Swajkowski G. 26. Musel T. 2. Kostka M. 7. Safi R. 9. Cuber Potocnik J.
Substitutes
28. Arifi D. 25. Bjarnason B. 26. Boevink P. (G) 14. Consbruch J. 33. Dietz M. 37. Green J. 18. Higl F. 16. Keller A. 7. Srbeny D.	11. Abiama D. 14. Brumme L. 20. Janssen M. 18. Kaiser N. 10. Obuz M. 30. Owusu K. 16. Reisig R. 4. Schultz M. 35. Wienand F. (G)
Coaches
Vogel H.	Koschinat U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Futkeu N. ⚽, Klaus F. (A),
43', Swajkowski G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Safi R. ↓, Abiama D. ↑,
47', 2 - 0, Hrgota B. ⚽,
54', Kostka M. 🟨,
61', Swajkowski G. ↓, Reisig R. ↑,
61', Kraulich T. ↓, Brumme L. ↑,
67', Banse S. ↓, Arifi D. ↑,
72', Cuber Potocnik J. ↓, Janssen M. ↑,
78', Ltaief S. ↓, Keller A. ↑,
86', Kostka M. ↓, Obuz M. ↑,
87', Itter G. ↓, Bjarnason B. ↑,
90+9', Huning B. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 0-1.

Fürth is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rot-Weiß Essen has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Fürth is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Fürth: John M. (Broken Leg) Reich L. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Rot-Weiß Essen: Bouebari F. (Muscle Injury) Gjasula K. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Rot-Weiß Essen: Mause J. (Elbow Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fürth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Greuther Furth: 0.7%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Greuther Furth	7	1	3	3	10:13	-3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greuther Fürth
German 2 Bundesliga
22.05.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - Greuther Fürth	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Greuther Fürth - Fortuna Düsseldorf	3:0 ✺
10.05.26	Hertha Berlin - Greuther Fürth	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Greuther Fürth - Nürnberg	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Bochum - Greuther Fürth	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLTL
- Rot-Weiß Essen
German 2 Bundesliga
22.05.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - Greuther Fürth	1:0 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
16.05.26	Ulm 1846 - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:3 ✺
09.05.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - Verl	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	VfB Stuttgart II - Rot-Weiß Essen	6:1 ✺
26.04.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - Saarbrücken	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
22.05.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - Greuther Fürth	1:0

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