Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Relegation - Final

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion an der Hafenstrasse (Essen) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	15:30	Disney+, FOX Sports 3
Armenia	22:30	Fast Sports
Australia	04:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, ESPN
Austria	20:30	SAT1, Sky Go Austria
Canada	14:30	DAZN Canada
Colombia	13:30	ESPN
Croatia	20:30	SportKlub 6
Czech Republic	20:30	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	20:30	Viaplay
Finland	21:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	20:30	SAT1, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport News, WOW
Hong Kong	02:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Hungary	20:30	Arena 4
Iceland	18:30	Viaplay
Israel	21:30	Sport 2
Laos	01:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	02:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	12:30	Sky Sport
Netherlands	20:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	06:30	beIN Connect
Norway	20:30	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	13:30	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	02:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Poland	20:30	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	19:30	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	21:30	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Saudi Arabia	21:30	MBC Shahid
Singapore	02:30	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	20:30	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Sweden	20:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	20:30	SAT1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	01:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkey	21:30	S Sport+
Uruguay	15:30	Disney+
Usa	14:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	14:30	Disney+, ESPN
International	18:30	Onefootball


	Rot-Weiß Essen		Greuther Fürth

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.4	2.8	Watch
	2.4	3.5	2.75
	2.82	3.6	2.25	Watch
	3.05	3.85	2.31
	3	3.58	2.27	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.75
	2.92	3.62	2.23	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (2.82)	3.53 ↑ (3.35)	2.47 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rot-Weiß Essen
34.8%

Draw
26.8%

Greuther Fürth
38.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.9%

27.7%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

27.7%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rot-Weiß Essen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Greuther Fürth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greuther Fürth than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	25%	66.7%

Rot Weiß Essen - Greuther Fürth Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Rot-Weiß Essen will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Fürth will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fürth: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Golz J. (C) 23. Rios Alonso J. 15. Huning B. 33. Kraulich T. 37. Hofmann J. 24. Mizuta K. 39. Swajkowski G. 26. Musel T. 2. Kostka M. 7. Safi R. 9. Cuber Potocnik J.	43. Prufrock S. (G) 23. Dehm J. 15. Elvedi J. 4. Ziereis P. 27. Itter G. 13. Will P. 30. Klaus F. 10. Hrgota B. (C) 7. Srbeny D. 47. Ltaief S. 9. Futkeu N.
Substitutes
11. Abiama D. 14. Brumme L. 20. Janssen M. 18. Kaiser N. 10. Obuz M. 30. Owusu K. 16. Reisig R. 4. Schultz M. 35. Wienand F. (G)	28. Arifi D. 44. Avlayici M. 6. Banse S. 25. Bjarnason B. 26. Boevink P. (G) 33. Dietz M. 37. Green J. 18. Higl F. 16. Keller A.
Coaches
Koschinat U.	Vogel H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
4', Rios Alonso J. 🟨,
17', Hrgota B. 🟨,
26', Dehm J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 1 - 0, Musel T. ⚽,
67', Srbeny D. ↓, Arifi D. ↑,
70', Safi R. ↓, Abiama D. ↑,
70', Cuber Potocnik J. ↓, Janssen M. ↑,
73', Dehm J. ↓, Keller A. ↑,
76', Swajkowski G. ↓, Reisig R. ↑,
76', Kostka M. ↓, Brumme L. ↑,
84', Ltaief S. ↓, Higl F. ↑,
89', Mizuta K. ↓, Obuz M. ↑,
90', Ziereis P. 🟨,

Preview

First leg.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Greuther Furth	9	2	3	4	12:16	-4	9

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Greuther Furth: 0.32%

Last Results with these Odds

Rot-Weiß Essen - the odds 2.82 are the expected chance of winning is 32.88%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Greuther Fürth - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 39.45%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rot-Weiß Essen
German 3 Bundesliga
16.05.26	Ulm 1846 - Rot-Weiß Essen	2:3 ✺
09.05.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - Verl	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	VfB Stuttgart II - Rot-Weiß Essen	6:1 ✺
26.04.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - Saarbrücken	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Energie Cottbus - Rot-Weiß Essen	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLLL
- Greuther Fürth
German 2 Bundesliga
17.05.26	Greuther Fürth - Fortuna Düsseldorf	3:0 ✺
10.05.26	Hertha Berlin - Greuther Fürth	2:1 ✺
03.05.26	Greuther Fürth - Nürnberg	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Bochum - Greuther Fürth	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Greuther Fürth - Darmstadt	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLTLW

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