Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 10

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday


	Greuther Fürth II		Nürnberg II

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.7	2.25
	2.74	3.87	2.23
	2.61	3.6	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.45)	3.72 (3.72)	2.24 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Greuther Fürth II
34.3%

Draw
24.7%

Nürnberg II
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

24.8%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

24.2%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Greuther Fürth II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Nürnberg II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greuther Fürth II than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg II than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Greuther Fürth II - Nürnberg II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, Porstner E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 0 - 2, Scobel P. ⚽,
78', 1 - 2, Akhalaia L. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Greuther Fürth II won 4.

Greuther Fürth II is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nürnberg II's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Greuther Fürth II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Greuther Fürth II won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 25:37. (average 1.3:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Greuther Fürth II won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:21. (average 0.8:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Greuther Fürth II
German Regionalliga Bayern
19.09.25	Bayreuth - Greuther Fürth II	0:3 ✺
13.09.25	Greuther Fürth II - Schwaben Augsburg	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Greuther Fürth II - Eichstätt	0:1 ✺
22.08.25	Hankofen-Hailing - Greuther Fürth II	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Greuther Fürth II - Buchbach	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WTLLL
- Nürnberg II
German Regionalliga Bayern
20.09.25	Nürnberg II - Aubstadt	4:0 ✺
13.09.25	Würzburger Kickers - Nürnberg II	1:1 ✺
05.09.25	Nürnberg II - Vilzing	1:3 ✺
29.08.25	Unterhaching - Nürnberg II	3:0 ✺
22.08.25	Nürnberg II - Ansbach	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
19.04.25	Greuther Fürth II - Nürnberg II	1:1
06.10.24	Nürnberg II - Greuther Fürth II	0:2
30.03.24	Nürnberg II - Greuther Fürth II	1:2
15.09.23	Greuther Fürth II - Nürnberg II	2:0
27.05.23	Nürnberg II - Greuther Fürth II	1:3
29.10.22	Greuther Fürth II - Nürnberg II	1:5
19.03.22	Nürnberg II - Greuther Fürth II	1:0

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