Match Info

Date: 23 September 2020, Wednesday


	Grobiņa		Spartaks

	1	X	2
	12	7	1.12
	8.75	6	1.2
	5.4	4.5	1.37
	12.5	6.75	1.17	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.66 ↑ (5.1)	6.06 ↑ (4.5)	1.22 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grobiņa
9.5%

Draw
15.1%

Spartaks
75.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

20.1%

62.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.8%

16.8%

74.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grobiņa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grobiņa's form might have worsened.

Spartaks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spartaks's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grobiņa than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grobiņa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartaks than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Grobiņa - Spartaks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Grobiņa is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Spartaks is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Grobiņa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Grobiņa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Grobiņa won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grobiņas SC
Latvian 1 Liga
19.09.20	Saldus SS Leevon - Grobiņa	0:0 ✺
12.09.20	Grobiņa - Smiltene	6:1
Latvian Cup
06.09.20	Grobiņa - Karosta	3:0
Latvian 1 Liga
29.08.20	Grobiņa - Auda Riga	2:2 ✺
Latvian Cup
21.08.20	Talsi Laidze - Grobiņa	1:7
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWWTW
- Spartaks Jurmala
Latvian Virsliga
20.09.20	Metta - Spartaks	1:1 ✺
16.09.20	Liepāja - Spartaks	3:2 ✺
12.09.20	Spartaks - BFC Daugavpils	3:3 ✺
29.08.20	Jelgava - Spartaks	2:3 ✺
22.08.20	Spartaks - Liepāja	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Cup
07.07.17	Grobiņa - Spartaks	0:2

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