Match Info

Date: 29 August 2020, Saturday


	Jelgava		Spartaks

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.4	1.95	Watch
	3.5	3.5	1.9
	3.35	3.35	2	Watch
	3.45	3.45	1.89
	3.54	3.5	2
	3.4	3.5	1.91	Watch
	3.68	3.68	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.53 ↓ (4.44)	3.48 ↓ (3.63)	1.93 ↑ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelgava
26%

Draw
26.4%

Spartaks
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

25.1%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.1%

19.7%

69.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelgava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jelgava's performance.

Spartaks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Spartaks might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelgava than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jelgava that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartaks than the current prediction. (+21.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Spartaks could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jelgava - Spartaks Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 9 in the zone Optibet Virsliga (Relegation) and 5).

Jelgava has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Spartaks is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Spartaks is a favorite.

Last 36 head-to-head matches Jelgava won 12 matches, drawn 12 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 34-40.

Including matches at home between the teams Jelgava won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FS Jelgava
Latvian Virsliga
23.08.20	Valmiera - Jelgava	2:0 ✺
16.08.20	Ventspils - Jelgava	5:0 ✺
12.08.20	Jelgava - Rīgas FS	0:4 ✺
07.08.20	Riga - Jelgava	3:0 ✺
03.08.20	Jelgava - Metta	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- Spartaks Jurmala
Latvian Virsliga
22.08.20	Spartaks - Liepāja	2:2 ✺
17.08.20	Tukums 2000 - Spartaks	0:2 ✺
12.08.20	Spartaks - Valmiera	2:3 ✺
08.08.20	Ventspils - Spartaks	1:1 ✺
03.08.20	Spartaks - Rīgas FS	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
18.07.20	Spartaks - Jelgava	4:1
05.10.19	Jelgava - Spartaks	5:2
27.07.19	Spartaks - Jelgava	1:2
21.05.19	Jelgava - Spartaks	0:3
09.04.19	Spartaks - Jelgava	1:2
23.09.18	Jelgava - Spartaks	0:0
22.07.18	Spartaks - Jelgava	4:1

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