Match Info

Date: 8 August 2022, Monday

Location: Slokas Stadions (Jūrmala)


	Spartaks		BFC Daugavpils

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.4	2.95
	2	3.6	3
	2.12	3.45	2.85
	2.1	3.7	3.14
	2.1	3.2	3.1
	2.1	3.48	3.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.43)	3.47 ↑ (3.38)	3.01 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartaks
43.7%

Draw
26.2%

BFC Daugavpils
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

26.5%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

30.1%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartaks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Spartaks's performance.

BFC Daugavpils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and BFC Daugavpils might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartaks than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spartaks that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that BFC Daugavpils could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	11.8%	5.9%

Spartaks - BFC Daugavpils Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Spartaks will win (votes: 14 - 82.4%). Daugavpils will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spartaks: 64.3% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 8 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Spartaks won 3.

Spartaks is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Daugavpils has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Daugavpils could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

Spartaks will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 33 head-to-head matches Spartaks won 21 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 56-31.

Including matches at home between the teams Spartaks won 12 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 33-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartaks Jurmala
Latvian Virsliga
30.07.22	Spartaks - Super Nova	2:3 ✺
24.07.22	Riga - Spartaks	2:1 ✺
13.07.22	Tukums 2000 - Spartaks	3:0 ✺
Latvian Cup
09.07.22	Rīgas FS - Spartaks	4:0 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
30.06.22	Valmiera - Spartaks	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.1 LLLLW
- BFC Daugavpils
Latvian Virsliga
04.08.22	Liepāja - BFC Daugavpils	2:1 ✺
16.07.22	Valmiera - BFC Daugavpils	5:1 ✺
Latvian Cup
11.07.22	Auda Riga - BFC Daugavpils	2:1 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
06.07.22	Auda Riga - BFC Daugavpils	2:0 ✺
30.06.22	Rīgas FS - BFC Daugavpils	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
22.05.22	Spartaks - BFC Daugavpils	2:0
15.04.22	BFC Daugavpils - Spartaks	2:0
11.09.21	Spartaks - BFC Daugavpils	3:0
Latvian Cup
07.08.21	Spartaks - BFC Daugavpils	0:1
Latvian Virsliga
25.06.21	Spartaks - BFC Daugavpils	2:0
05.05.21	BFC Daugavpils - Spartaks	3:0
13.03.21	BFC Daugavpils - Spartaks	2:1

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