Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 7

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday


	Grom Nowy Staw		Polonia Środa Wielkopolska

	1	X	2
	4.00	4.00	1.61
	4.1	3.85	1.6
	4.04	4.12	1.57
	4.15	4.27	1.62	Watch
	3.95	4	1.54
	4.36	4.2	1.58	Watch
	5.2	4.3	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.26 ↓ (5.2)	4.11 ↓ (4.3)	1.56 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grom Nowy Staw
21%

Draw
21.8%

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17%

20.6%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9%

20.5%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grom Nowy Staw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Polonia Środa Wielkopolska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Polonia Środa Wielkopolska might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grom Nowy Staw than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Polonia Środa Wielkopolska than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Polonia Środa Wielkopolska could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Grom Nowy Staw - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
37', 0 - 1, Wilczynski J. ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Jankowski I. (Penalty Awarded),
42', 1 - 2, Wilczynski J. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 2, Jankowski I. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
47', 3 - 2, Zielinski W. ⚽,
80', 4 - 2, Mielnik A. ⚽,
86', 4 - 3, Mikita P. (Penalty Awarded),
89', 4 - 4, Skrobosinski P. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2).

Grom Nowy Staw has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Środa Wielkopolska is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Grom Nowy Staw may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Środa Wielkopolska is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Grom Nowy Staw won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sroda	11	8	3	0	33:16	17	27
12	Grom Nowy Staw	11	4	1	6	28:28	0	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grom Nowy Staw
Polish Division 3 - Group II
29.08.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Grom Nowy Staw	2:4 ✺
23.08.26	Grom Nowy Staw - Kluczevia Stargard	3:4 ✺
19.08.26	Wda Świecie - Grom Nowy Staw	4:2 ✺
15.08.26	Grom Nowy Staw - Elana Toruń	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Noteć Czarnków - Grom Nowy Staw	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WLLLW
- Polonia Środa Wielkopolska
Polish Cup
01.09.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	3:2 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group II
28.08.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Gedania Gdańsk	4:3 ✺
22.08.26	Lipno Stęszew - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:3 ✺
19.08.26	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	4:1 ✺
14.08.26	Chemik Bydgoszcz - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
12.10.19	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Grom Nowy Staw	4:1

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