Match Info

Division 2 - Group 2 - Round 7

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Grorud Matchbane (Oslo)


	Grorud		Follo

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.8	3.6
	1.63	4.2	4.3
	1.63	4.21	4.22
	1.66	4.31	4.31	Watch
	1.59	4.2	4.3	Watch
	1.63	4.2	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.6)	4.15 ↓ (4.23)	4.17 ↓ (4.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grorud
55.9%

Draw
22.1%

Follo
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

21.8%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

21.2%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grorud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Follo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grorud than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Follo than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Grorud - Follo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kvarekval L. (G) 9. Asp P. 6. Beck S. 3. Brevik B. 10. Dubois M. 20. Fajfric L. 15. Fjeld C. 19. Mahnin M. 11. Pozo-Venta W. 2. Sandrakumar M. (C) 5. Silfver-Ramage W.	1. Ostbye S. (C) 5. Brekke E. 18. Gonella R. 4. Hagen H. 27. Jorde J. 21. Mulaj E. 3. Osen H. 10. Ottesen M. 11. Skoglund N. 90. Togersen E. 6. Tomas N.
Substitutes
21. Brennhaugen E. 18. Etholm H. 7. Etholm T. 22. Hammershaug S. 31. Moe E. (G) 27. Omar D. 16. Otman K. 17. Rasen J. 23. Sosseh T.	23. Elshaug R. 22. Gavey M. 30. Ghebar D. 26. Helling G. 20. Larsen M. 2. Maturire J. 13. Ostbye E. (G) 16. Ozyilmaz N. F. 28. Schmidt-Lovlund N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Asp P. ⚽,
29', Mulaj E. 🟨,
41', Brevik B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Togersen E. ↓, Ghebar D. ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Ottesen M. ⚽,
58', Pozo-Venta W. 🟨,
65', Fajfric L. ↓, Hammershaug S. ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Asp P. ⚽,
73', 3 - 1, Dubois M. ⚽,
75', Pozo-Venta W. ↓, Rasen J. ↑,
75', Dubois M. ↓, Otman K. ↑,
77', Sandrakumar M. 🟨,
79', Beck S. 🟨,
80', Ottesen M. ↓, Larsen M. ↑,
80', Skoglund N. ↓, Gavey M. ↑,
80', Jorde J. ↓, Helling G. ↑,
81', 3 - 2, Helling G. ⚽,
85', Asp P. 🟨,
90+1', Asp P. ↓, Etholm T. ↑,
90+1', Otman K. ↓, Etholm H. ↑,
90+2', Mulaj E. ↓, Elshaug R. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grorud won 4.

Grorud has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Follo's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Grorud is seen as the favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Grorud won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 29:14. (average 2.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Grorud won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:6. (average 3.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grorud IL
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
11.05.25	Rana - Grorud	0:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
07.05.25	Grorud - Lillestrøm SK	2:3 ET ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
03.05.25	Grorud - Kjelsås	0:2 ✺
27.04.25	Levanger - Grorud	2:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.25	Grorud - Hødd	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLLTW
- Follo
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
11.05.25	Follo - Hønefoss	2:3 ✺
03.05.25	Tromsdalen - Follo	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Follo - Stjørdals-Blink	1:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.04.25	Follo - Moss	2:3 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
19.04.25	Strømmen - Follo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
26.10.24	Follo - Grorud	2:2
22.06.24	Grorud - Follo	5:2
Club Friendly
30.03.24	Grorud - Follo	3:0
Norwegian NM Cup
19.05.22	Follo - Grorud	0:1 penalties
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
09.09.17	Follo - Grorud	1:6
27.05.17	Grorud - Follo	3:0
Norwegian NM Cup
26.04.17	Grorud - Follo	4:1

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