Match Info
Serie D - Round 5Date: 4 May 2026, Monday
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Grêmio Atlético Sampaio |
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Manauara |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
4.15 |
3.3 |
1.75 |
|
 |
4.43 |
3.45 |
1.78 |
|
 |
4.58 |
3.21 |
1.79 |
Watch |
 |
4 |
3.3 |
1.75 |
|
 |
4.54 |
3.34 |
1.72 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.34 ↓ (4.75) |
3.32 ↓ (3.45) |
1.76 ↑ (1.67) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Grêmio Atlético Sampaio 20.9% | Draw 27.4% | Manauara 51.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio Atlético Sampaio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Manauara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Atlético Sampaio than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manauara than the current prediction. (+3.2%)Grêmio Atlético Sampaio - Manauara Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 58', 1 - 0, Vanilson ⚽,
- 76', 1 - 1, Clessione ⚽,
- 79', 1 - 2, Conceicao F. ⚽,
Preview
GAS is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).Manauara has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).GAS may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Manauara is seen as the favorite.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, GAS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).Including home match between the teams, GAS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie D | | | 19.07.25 | Manauara - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio | 3:0 | | 26.04.25 | Grêmio Atlético Sampaio - Manauara | 1:2 |
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