Match Info
Copa Norte - Round 5Date: 29 April 2026, WednesdayLocation: Arena Acreana (Florestao) (Rio Branco)
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 |
|
 |
|
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Independência |
|
Grêmio Atlético Sampaio |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.96 |
3.15 |
3.65 |
|
 |
2.03 |
3.57 |
3.17 |
 Watch |
 |
1.9 |
3.38 |
3.58 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↓
(2.17) |
3.37 ↓
(3.38) |
3.47 ↑
(3.08) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Independência
46.5% | Draw
27.1% | Grêmio Atlético Sampaio
26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independência has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Grêmio Atlético Sampaio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independência than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Independência that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Atlético Sampaio than the current prediction. (+4.8%)Independência - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 58', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 61', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 81', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 82', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
Independência has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).GAS is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Independência may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Independência has had a series of away games. Independência could have a small edge in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Independência won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).Including home match between the teams, Independência won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie D | | | 05.07.25 | Grêmio Atlético Sampaio - Independência | 1:2 | | 10.05.25 | Independência - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio | 4:1 |
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