Match Info
Serie D - Round 8Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Grêmio Atlético Sampaio |
|
Nacional AM |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
4.6 |
3.3 |
1.66 |
|
 |
5.5 |
3.6 |
1.55 |
|
 |
4.74 |
3.33 |
1.68 |
|
 |
4.94 |
3.28 |
1.73 |
Watch |
 |
4.6 |
3.3 |
1.67 |
|
 |
5.53 |
3.75 |
1.55 |
|
 |
5.2 |
3.55 |
1.59 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.02 ↓ (5.2) |
3.44 ↓ (3.55) |
1.63 ↑ (1.59) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Grêmio Atlético Sampaio 18.1% | Draw 26.3% | Nacional AM 55.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio Atlético Sampaio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Nacional AM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Atlético Sampaio than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional AM than the current prediction. (+2.4%)Grêmio Atlético Sampaio - Nacional AM Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 63', 0 - 1, Caio Mancha ⚽,
Preview
GAS is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).Nacional AM has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).GAS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Nacional AM is considered a favorite.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, GAS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).Including home match between the teams, GAS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;