Match Info
Serie D - Round 10Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Grêmio Atlético Sampaio |
|
Manaus |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
12.00 |
5.25 |
1.21 |
|
 |
5.7 |
3.95 |
1.47 |
|
 |
5 |
4.19 |
1.5 |
|
 |
6.61 |
4.84 |
1.37 |
 Watch |
 |
5.5 |
3.75 |
1.5 |
|
 |
5.76 |
4.2 |
1.45 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.76 ↑
(5.82) |
4.36 ↑
(3.6) |
1.42 ↓
(1.56) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Grêmio Atlético Sampaio
13.7% | Draw
21.2% | Manaus
65.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio Atlético Sampaio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Manaus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Manaus's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Atlético Sampaio than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manaus than the current prediction. (-4.4%)Grêmio Atlético Sampaio - Manaus Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 15', 1 - 0, Castro R. ⚽,
- 31', 2 - 0, Martins L. ⚽,
- 35', 2 - 1, Lucas Vieira ⚽,
- 45+1', 3 - 1, Gabriel Goncalves ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
GAS is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).Manaus's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).GAS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Manaus is the undeniable favorite.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, GAS won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).Including home match between the teams, GAS won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie D | | | 04.04.26 | Manaus - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio | 1:0 | | 15.06.25 | Manaus - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio | 1:2 | | 24.05.25 | Grêmio Atlético Sampaio - Manaus | 1:2 |
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