Match Info

Catarinense 2 - Round 13

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday


	Grêmio Juventus		Jaraguá do Sul

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.10	7.50
	1.34	4.3	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.34)	4.7 ↑ (4.3)	7 ↑ (6.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 12.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Juventus
68.5%

Draw
18.9%

Jaraguá do Sul
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

20.5%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

14.8%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Juventus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Jaraguá do Sul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Juventus than the current prediction. (-21.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grêmio Juventus that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaraguá do Sul than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jaraguá do Sul could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
13', 2 - 0, ⚽,
30', 3 - 0, ⚽,
36', 4 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
56', 4 - 1, ⚽,
61', 5 - 1, ⚽,
68', 6 - 1, ⚽,
68', (Penalty Awarded),
74', 7 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 8 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Catarinense 3 and 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Catarinense 3).

Recent form of Grêmio Juventus has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jaraguá do Sul is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Jaraguá do Sul may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Jaraguá do Sul has had a series of home games.

In this match, Grêmio Juventus is the undeniable favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Gremio Juventus	18	5	2	11	17:26	-9	17
10	Jaragua-SC	18	0	1	17	6:73	-67	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Juventus
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
21.06.26	Grêmio Juventus - Atlético Tubarão	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Nação - Grêmio Juventus	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Metropolitano - Grêmio Juventus	2:0 ✺
27.05.26	Fluminense-SC - Grêmio Juventus	0:1 ✺
24.05.26	Grêmio Juventus - Hercílio Luz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLLWL
- Jaraguá do Sul SC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
01.07.26	Jaraguá do Sul - Atlético Tubarão	0:3 ✺
14.06.26	Jaraguá do Sul - Hercílio Luz	0:2 ✺
10.06.26	Blumenau - Jaraguá do Sul	6:0
03.06.26	Jaraguá do Sul - Guarani de Palhoça	1:3 ✺
17.05.26	Jaraguá do Sul - Caravaggio	0:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Grêmio Juventus - Jaraguá do Sul: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide