Match Info

Catarinense 2 - Round 10

Date: 17 June 2026, Wednesday


	Nação		Grêmio Juventus

	1	X	2
	2.40	2.85	2.75
	2.50	2.85	2.60
	2.50	2.84	2.79
	2.58	2.74	2.93
	2.50	2.75	2.88
	2.48	2.85	2.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.48)	2.81 ↓ (2.85)	2.79 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nação
36%

Draw
31.9%

Grêmio Juventus
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

30.8%

33.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

29%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nação has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Grêmio Juventus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nação than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Juventus than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Nação - Grêmio Juventus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 and 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Catarinense 3).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Nação may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nação won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Nação won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Nacao	18	5	6	7	19:26	-7	21
9	Gremio Juventus	18	5	2	11	17:26	-9	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nação Esportes Canoinhas
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
07.06.26	Hercílio Luz - Nação	2:1 ✺
03.06.26	Nação - Blumenau	0:6 ✺
27.05.26	Caravaggio - Nação	4:1 ✺
16.05.26	Fluminense-SC - Nação	1:1 ✺
12.05.26	Nação - Atlético Tubarão	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLLTT
- Grêmio Juventus
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
30.05.26	Metropolitano - Grêmio Juventus	2:0 ✺
27.05.26	Fluminense-SC - Grêmio Juventus	0:1 ✺
24.05.26	Grêmio Juventus - Hercílio Luz	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Guarani de Palhoça - Grêmio Juventus	1:0 ✺
06.05.26	Grêmio Juventus - Blumenau	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense 2
26.04.26	Grêmio Juventus - Nação	1:1
29.06.25	Nação - Grêmio Juventus	0:0

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