Match Info

Date: 23 January 2021, Saturday


	Grêmio Novorizontino		Floresta

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.5	8.5
	1.26	4.6	10
	1.29	4.2	10
	1.3	4.85	8.34
	1.29	4.33	10
	1.32	4.4	9.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.32)	4.48 ↑ (4.05)	9.42 ↑ (8.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Novorizontino
70.1%

Draw
20.2%

Floresta
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

22.1%

10.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

10.8%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Floresta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-36.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grêmio Novorizontino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floresta than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Floresta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match Novorizontino is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Novorizontino won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie D
16.01.21	Floresta - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
10.01.21	Grêmio Novorizontino - Fast Clube	3:0 ✺
03.01.21	Fast Clube - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:1 ✺
27.12.20	Grêmio Novorizontino - Goiânia	4:0 ✺
19.12.20	Goiânia - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWWWT
- Floresta EC
Brazilian Serie D
16.01.21	Floresta - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1 ✺
10.01.21	América RN - Floresta	1:1 ✺
02.01.21	Floresta - América RN	2:0 ✺
27.12.20	Floresta - SE Juventude	2:0 ✺
12.12.20	Itabaiana - Floresta	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
16.01.21	Floresta - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:1

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