Match Info

BRAZIL: PAULISTA A4 - ROUND 6

Date: 21 February 2024, Wednesday


	Grêmio Osasco Audax		Rio Branco de Americana

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.85	2.6
	2.75	2.71	2.59
	2.67	2.93	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.07)	2.83 ↓ (3.1)	2.58 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Osasco Audax
33.6%

Draw
31.7%

Rio Branco de Americana
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

29.3%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

28.8%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Osasco Audax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grêmio Osasco Audax's form might have worsened.

Rio Branco de Americana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rio Branco de Americana's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Osasco Audax than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grêmio Osasco Audax, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Branco de Americana than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rio Branco de Americana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A4 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Audax is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Rio Branco is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rio Branco could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Audax will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Osasco Audax
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
17.02.24	Independente de Limeira - Grêmio Osasco Audax	0:0 ✺
10.02.24	Grêmio Osasco Audax - XV de Jaú	2:0 ✺
06.02.24	America SP - Grêmio Osasco Audax	2:2 ✺
03.02.24	Grêmio Osasco Audax - Joseense	0:0 ✺
27.01.24	SKA Brasil - Grêmio Osasco Audax	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TWTTW
- Rio Branco de Americana
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A4
17.02.24	Rio Branco de Americana - SKA Brasil	2:1 ✺
10.02.24	Grêmio Desportivo São-Carlense - Rio Branco de Americana	1:0 ✺
07.02.24	Rio Branco de Americana - Jabaquara	1:2 ✺
03.02.24	Rio Branco de Americana - VOCEM	0:0 ✺
27.01.24	Penapolense - Rio Branco de Americana	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLLTW

Grêmio Osasco Audax - Rio Branco de Americana: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide