Match Info
Brasileiro Women - Round 15Date: 18 June 2025, WednesdayLocation: Arena do Grêmio (Porto Alegre)
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Grêmio Porto Alegrense |
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Flamengo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
3.9 |
3.5 |
1.73 |
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 |
3.95 |
3.46 |
1.88 |
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Watch |
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3.99 |
3.42 |
1.8 |
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3.66 |
3.33 |
1.64 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.88 ↓ (4.24) |
3.43 ↑ (3.4) |
1.76 ↓ (1.79) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Grêmio Porto Alegrense 23.1% | Draw 26.1% | Flamengo 50.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio Porto Alegrense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Flamengo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Porto Alegrense than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo than the current prediction. (+1.7%)Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Flamengo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
1. Raissa Tayna (G) 5. Amanda Brunner 97. Bia Santos 99. Giovaninha 77. Gisele 4. Karol Arcanjo 7. Pini 15. Raissa Bahia 20. Ramos M. 3. Tayla 9. Valeria Paula
| 23. Karol Alves (G) 7. Fabi Simoes 32. Fernanda 16. Flavia Mota 10. Glaucia (C) 81. Jucinara 13. Leidiane 36. Leticia 3. Nubia 21. Valeria Cantuario 9. Vitoria Almeida
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| Substitutes |
21. Brito 8. Drika 19. Dudinha 52. Julia Martins 66. Katielle 33. Leticia (G) 17. Luana Spindler 11. Rodriguez Y. 64. Shasha 50. Sol (G)
| 29. Barraca 6. Chai 33. Diovanna 27. Driely 30. Duda Rodrigues 37. Isa Cruz (G) 31. Laysa 18. Louvain 2. Monalisa
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', Leticia 🟨,
- 18', 1 - 0, Amanda Brunner ⚽,
- 27', Flavia Mota 🟨,
- 30', Gisele 🟨,
- 36', Valeria Paula 🟨,
- 41', Valeria Paula ↓, Luana Spindler ↑,
- 45+2', Fabi Simoes 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Flavia Mota ↓, Barraca ↑,
- 63', Glaucia ↓, Laysa ↑,
- 63', Jucinara ↓, Chai ↑,
- 66', Gisele ↓, Drika ↑,
- 73', Fernanda ↓, Duda Rodrigues ↑,
- 73', Leticia ↓, Driely ↑,
- 75', Amanda Brunner ↓, Shasha ↑,
- 75', Ramos M. ↓, Brito ↑,
- 80', Luana Spindler 🟨,
- 83', 1 - 1, Fabi Simoes ⚽,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)). Flamengo is Qualified for Brasileiro Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)Recent performances by Grêmio have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).Flamengo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4). In this match, Flamengo is seen as the favorite.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.4:1.4).Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brasileiro Women | | | 07.06.24 | Flamengo - Grêmio Porto Alegrense | 1:1 | | 17.04.23 | Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Flamengo | 0:1 | | 29.05.22 | Flamengo - Grêmio Porto Alegrense | 2:0 | | 22.05.21 | Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Flamengo | 1:1 | | 28.09.20 | Flamengo - Grêmio Porto Alegrense | 2:0 |
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