Match Info

Brasileiro Women - Round 11

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Francisco Novelletto Neto (Porto Alegre)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	UOL Play


	Grêmio Porto Alegrense		Mixto

	1	X	2
	1.28	4.8	8.25
	1.28	4.75	8.5
	1.31	4.94	8.96
	1.06	9.93	29.64	Watch
	1.3	4.5	8
	1.26	5.2	8.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.45)	5.69 ↑ (4.2)	12 ↑ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Porto Alegrense
75.6%

Draw
16.6%

Mixto
7.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

21.5%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

20.8%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Porto Alegrense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grêmio Porto Alegrense's performance.

Mixto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mixto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Porto Alegrense than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grêmio Porto Alegrense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mixto than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mixto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Mixto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Raissa Tayna (G) 2. Allyne 16. Arrieta C. 27. Dani Barao 99. Giovaninha 77. Gisele 13. Leidiane 6. Montoya D. 7. Pini 20. Ramos M. (C) 3. Rodriguez M.	12. Nagila (G) 10. Gauto F. 11. Gessica 4. Isabela 9. Isa Rangel (C) 15. Joyce 8. Karolina Alves 2. Livia Mathias 19. Nayara 21. Sara Piveta 25. Thais Prado
Substitutes
5. Amanda Brunner 97. Bia Santos 10. Brenda Woch 21. Brito 8. Drika 17. Luana Spindler 32. Maria 95. Maria Dias 11. Rodriguez Y. 50. Sol (G) 9. Valeria Paula	7. Andressa 17. Debora 27. Lorena 99. Luana India 6. Natalia Lopes 28. Priscila Andrade 22. Sassa 29. Silvana 13. Suyane 1. Thais (G) 20. Thayna

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Ramos M. ⚽,
39', Gessica 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', Sara Piveta ↓, Sassa ↑,
66', Thais Prado ↓, Natalia Lopes ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Giovaninha ⚽,
75', Livia Mathias ↓, Suyane ↑,
75', Gessica ↓, Debora ↑,
75', Isa Rangel ↓, Luana India ↑,
78', 3 - 0, Pini ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 15).

Recent performances by Grêmio have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mixto has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Mixto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Grêmio is the clear favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Porto Alegrense Women
Brasileiro Women
10.05.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	0:3 ✺
01.05.26	Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Corinthians	0:2 ✺
28.04.26	Bahia - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	0:2 ✺
20.04.26	São Paulo - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	3:1 ✺
03.04.26	Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Vitória Salvador	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 WLWLW
- Mixto EC Women
Copa do Brasil Women
13.05.26	Mixto - Ação	0:1 ✺
Brasileiro Women
09.05.26	Mixto - Bahia	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Ferroviária - Mixto	3:0 ✺
26.04.26	Mixto - Fluminense	0:2 ✺
21.04.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Mixto	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTLLL

Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Mixto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide