Match Info

Copa Paulista - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday


	União São João		EC Primavera

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.5	2.55
	2.52	2.82	2.78
	2.62	2.77	2.75
	2.57	3.24	2.57	Watch
	2.41	3.08	2.7
	2.38	3.45	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.37)	3.14 ↓ (3.37)	2.66 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União São João
36.7%

Draw
29%

EC Primavera
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

26.7%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

26.8%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União São João has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

EC Primavera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União São João than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC Primavera than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

União São João - EC Primavera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Pellegrini (G) 7. Alan Francisco 23. Emerson Crepaldi 3. Felipe Codo 8. Franco L. 10. Igor Silva 11. Luan 4. Lucas Mufalo 9. Rafael Tanque 5. Ruan Marcos 6. Tallys	1. Levy (G) 3. Afonso 9. Brunao 2. Cleiton 7. Jean Silva 11. Josiel 5. Junior Caicara (C) 4. Luan Martins 10. Matheus Anjos 8. Nelsinho 6. Victor J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Brunao ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Igor Silva ↓, Chileno ↑,
58', Rafael Tanque ↓, Borges V. ↑,
58', Franco L. ↓, Kaique Clemente ↑,
70', 🟨,
74', 🟨,
75', 0 - 2, Josiel ⚽,
76', Alan Francisco ↓, Da Ora ↑,
76', Luan ↓, Vallejo L. R. ↑,
79', Nelsinho ↓, Vitor Braga ↑,
79', Matheus Anjos ↓, Raphael Luz ↑,
79', Josiel ↓, Cesar ↑,
79', Henan ↓, Brunao ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-4. 2nd leg.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, União São João won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União São João de Araras
Brazilian Copa Paulista
08.09.25	EC Primavera - União São João	4:0 ✺
29.08.25	União São João - EC Noroeste	3:0 ✺
23.08.25	EC Noroeste - União São João	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	União São João - Comercial SP	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Francana - União São João	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLWT
- EC Primavera
Brazilian Copa Paulista
08.09.25	EC Primavera - União São João	4:0 ✺
31.08.25	EC Primavera - Paulista	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Paulista - EC Primavera	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	São Bento - EC Primavera	1:1 ✺
10.08.25	EC Primavera - Piracicaba	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Paulista
08.09.25	EC Primavera - União São João	4:0

União São João - EC Primavera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide