Match Info

Date: 16 February 2022, Wednesday


	Grêmio Sorriso		Luverdense

	1	X	2
	3.2	3	2.1
	3.15	2.85	2.27
	3.37	2.76	2.39
	3.2	3.04	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↓ (4.1)	2.91 ↓ (2.94)	2.25 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Sorriso
28.2%

Draw
31.3%

Luverdense
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

31.5%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

24.3%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Sorriso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grêmio Sorriso's performance.

Luverdense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luverdense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Sorriso than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grêmio Sorriso that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luverdense than the current prediction. (+19.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luverdense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Matogrossense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Grêmio Sorriso is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Luverdense is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Luverdense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Luverdense will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Sorriso
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
12.02.22	Grêmio Sorriso - Ação	3:2 ✺
09.02.22	União Rondonópolis - Grêmio Sorriso	2:1 ✺
06.02.22	Academia Rondonópolis - Grêmio Sorriso	1:0 ✺
02.02.22	Grêmio Sorriso - Dom Bosco	1:1 ✺
29.01.22	Operário Ltda - Grêmio Sorriso	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLTL
- Luverdense EC
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
12.02.22	Academia Rondonópolis - Luverdense	0:3 ✺
09.02.22	Luverdense - Operário Ltda	0:0 ✺
06.02.22	Dom Bosco - Luverdense	0:1 ✺
01.02.22	Ação - Luverdense	1:1 ✺
29.01.22	Luverdense - Cuiabá	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.6 WTWTW

Grêmio Sorriso - Luverdense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide