Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 18

Date: 23 June 2026, Tuesday


	Grêmio U20		Bahia U20

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.40	2.15
	2.90	3.55	2.02
	3.02	3.75	2.17
	2.87	3.57	2.18
	2.75	3.40	2.10
	2.90	3.62	2.18
	3.2	3.55	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (3.2)	3.55 (3.55)	2.1 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio U20
31.2%

Draw
25.6%

Bahia U20
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

25.1%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

24.1%

49.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Bahia U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio U20 than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia U20 than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bahia U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Grêmio U20 - Bahia U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Gomez R. ⚽,
7', 2 - 0, Rocha V. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 3 - 0, Adrielson ⚽,
67', 4 - 0, Gabriel ⚽,
90+1', Carioca G. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 15 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grêmio U20 won 5.

Grêmio U20 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Bahia U20 is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Grêmio U20 has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Grêmio U20 won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:12. (average 2.1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio U20 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio RS U20
Brasileiro U20
20.06.26	Grêmio U20 - Fortaleza U20	2:1 ✺
17.06.26	Botafogo RJ U20 - Grêmio U20	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Gaucho U20
14.06.26	Grêmio U20 - Internacional U20	0:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
10.06.26	Grêmio U20 - Fluminense U20	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Gaucho U20
05.06.26	Grêmio U20 - Novo Hamburgo U20	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLT
- Bahia U20
Brasileiro U20
20.06.26	Santos U20 - Bahia U20	0:2 ✺
17.06.26	Bahia U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Baiano U20
13.06.26	Bahia U20 - Juazeirense U20	7:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
10.06.26	Juventude U20 - Bahia U20	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Baiano U20
29.05.26	Bahia U20 - SSA U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
18.06.25	Bahia U20 - Grêmio U20	1:2
14.08.24	Bahia U20 - Grêmio U20	0:2
Copa do Brasil U20
08.10.23	Bahia U20 - Grêmio U20	2:3
01.10.23	Grêmio U20 - Bahia U20	3:2
Brasileiro U20
04.05.23	Bahia U20 - Grêmio U20	2:3
08.08.21	Bahia U20 - Grêmio U20	2:2
18.10.20	Grêmio U20 - Bahia U20	1:1

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