Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 17

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday


	Santos U20		Bahia U20

	1	X	2
	1.80	3.50	3.50
	1.97	3.55	3.00
	1.82	3.92	3.91
	1.87	3.6	3.66	Watch
	1.75	3.50	3.60
	1.75	3.68	3.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.12)	3.63 ↑ (3.5)	3.59 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos U20
49.7%

Draw
25%

Bahia U20
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

25.5%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

24.5%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santos U20's performance.

Bahia U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bahia U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos U20 than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santos U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia U20 than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bahia U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santos U20 - Bahia U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
86', 0 - 1, Dell ⚽,
90+7', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos U20 won 2.

Santos U20 is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bahia U20 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Santos U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Santos U20 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Santos U20 won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Santos U20 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 2:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Bahia U20 - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 32.44%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos U20
Brasileiro U20
16.06.26	América MG U20 - Santos U20	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
12.06.26	Santos U20 - Jabaquara U20	1:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
11.06.26	Palmeiras U20 - Santos U20	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
30.05.26	Sertãozinho U20 - Santos U20	0:3 ✺
Brasileiro U20
27.05.26	Santos U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWTWT
- Bahia U20
Brasileiro U20
17.06.26	Bahia U20 - Vasco da Gama U20	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Baiano U20
13.06.26	Bahia U20 - Juazeirense U20	7:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
10.06.26	Juventude U20 - Bahia U20	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Baiano U20
29.05.26	Bahia U20 - SSA U20	1:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
27.05.26	Criciúma U20 - Bahia U20	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
30.04.25	Bahia U20 - Santos U20	0:0
25.06.24	Santos U20 - Bahia U20	2:1
27.04.23	Santos U20 - Bahia U20	2:2
Brazilian Copinha
15.01.23	Santos U20 - Bahia U20	4:0
Brasileiro U20
01.08.21	Santos U20 - Bahia U20	1:3
08.11.20	Santos U20 - Bahia U20	0:2
13.07.19	Santos U20 - Bahia U20	3:1

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