Match Info

Brasiliense U20 - Round 8

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Grêmio Valparaíso U20		Santa Maria U20

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Grêmio Valparaíso U20
41%

Draw
22.1%

Santa Maria U20
37%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51%

23%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Valparaíso U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grêmio Valparaíso U20's form might have worsened.

Santa Maria U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santa Maria U20's recent form is better than expected.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasiliense U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6)

G Valparaíso U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, G Valparaíso U20 is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, G Valparaíso U20 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Valparaíso U20
Brazilian Brasiliense U20
20.06.26	Grêmio Valparaíso U20 - Real Brasília U20	0:3 ✺
14.06.26	Paranoá U20 - Grêmio Valparaíso U20	1:3 ✺
30.05.26	Grêmio Valparaíso U20 - Ceilandense U20	5:0 ✺
16.05.26	Luziânia U20 - Grêmio Valparaíso U20	1:3 ✺
19.07.25	Sobradinho U20 - Grêmio Valparaíso U20	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWWWL
- SE Santa Maria U20
Brazilian Brasiliense U20
28.06.26	Santa Maria U20 - Ceilândia U20	2:2 ✺
21.06.26	Santa Maria U20 - Brasília U20	2:1 ✺
06.06.26	Real Brasília U20 - Santa Maria U20	3:0 ✺
02.08.25	Sobradinho U20 - Santa Maria U20	1:0 ✺
27.07.25	Santa Maria U20 - Sobradinho U20	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWLLL

Brazilian Brasiliense U20
29.06.25	Santa Maria U20 - Grêmio Valparaíso U20	1:1

Grêmio Valparaíso U20 - Santa Maria U20