Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 17

Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday


	Guédiawaye		Gorée

	1	X	2
	3	2.58	2.52
	3.15	2.5	2.59
	3.17	2.56	2.63	Watch
	3	2.45	2.5
	3.13	2.74	2.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (3.03)	2.57 ↓ (2.61)	2.57 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guédiawaye
29.4%

Draw
35.3%

Gorée
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

34.7%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

33.8%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guédiawaye has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Gorée has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guédiawaye than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gorée than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Guédiawaye - Gorée Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guédiawaye won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Guédiawaye won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 0.7:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Guédiawaye won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	US Goree	30	11	15	4	29:14	15	48
13	Guediawaye	30	7	8	15	29:34	-5	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guédiawaye FC
Senegal Ligue 1
22.02.26	Guédiawaye - Dakar SC	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	Teungueth - Guédiawaye	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Guédiawaye - Stade de Mbour	0:0 ✺
02.02.26	Wally Daan - Guédiawaye	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Guédiawaye - AJEL de Rufisque	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTTLL
- US Gorée
Senegal Ligue 1
22.02.26	Gorée - Teungueth	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Gorée - Wally Daan	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	AJEL de Rufisque - Gorée	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Gorée - Ouakam	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	HLM - Gorée	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Senegal Ligue 1
08.11.25	Gorée - Guédiawaye	1:0
27.02.25	Gorée - Guédiawaye	0:1
14.01.24	Gorée - Guédiawaye	0:0
30.12.22	Guédiawaye - Gorée	1:2
09.04.22	Gorée - Guédiawaye	0:1
19.12.21	Guédiawaye - Gorée	1:0
15.04.17	Guédiawaye - Gorée	1:1

Guédiawaye - Gorée: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide