Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 14

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday


	Guédiawaye		Stade de Mbour

	1	X	2
	3.05	2.58	2.48
	3.2	2.66	2.51	Watch
	3.42	2.8	2.38	Watch
	3	2.6	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (3.01)	2.66 ↑ (2.6)	2.48 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guédiawaye
28.8%

Draw
34.3%

Stade de Mbour
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

35.4%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guédiawaye has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Stade de Mbour has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Guédiawaye - Stade de Mbour Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Recent form of Guédiawaye has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mbour may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Guédiawaye won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Guédiawaye won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Mbour	30	5	18	7	18:21	-3	33
13	Guediawaye	30	7	8	15	29:34	-5	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guédiawaye FC
Senegal Ligue 1
02.02.26	Wally Daan - Guédiawaye	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Guédiawaye - AJEL de Rufisque	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Ouakam - Guédiawaye	1:1 ✺
07.01.26	Guédiawaye - HLM	0:1 ✺
28.12.25	Camberene - Guédiawaye	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLTLW
- Stade de Mbour
Senegal Ligue 1
11.01.26	Wally Daan - Stade de Mbour	1:0 ✺
07.01.26	Stade de Mbour - AJEL de Rufisque	0:2 ✺
29.12.25	Ouakam - Stade de Mbour	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Camberene - Stade de Mbour	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Jaraaf - Stade de Mbour	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Senegal Ligue 1
28.03.24	Guédiawaye - Stade de Mbour	3:1
26.11.23	Stade de Mbour - Guédiawaye	1:1
19.05.18	Stade de Mbour - Guédiawaye	2:0
11.02.18	Guédiawaye - Stade de Mbour	0:0

Guédiawaye - Stade de Mbour: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide