Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 18 - Round 18

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Pedro Escartín (Guadalajara)


	Guadalajara B		Marchamalo

	1	X	2
	2.98	2.82	2.38
	3.44	2.94	2.19
	2.5	2.9	2.7
	2.52	3.19	2.78
	2.8	2.85	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.38)	2.94 ↓ (3.15)	2.52 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guadalajara B
32.3%

Draw
31.3%

Marchamalo
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

28.9%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

29.7%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guadalajara B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guadalajara B's form might have worsened.

Marchamalo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guadalajara B than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guadalajara B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marchamalo than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Guadalajara B - Marchamalo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+7', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 11).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guadalajara B won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Marchamalo	5	2	2	1	10:7	3	8
16	Guadalajara B	5	0	2	3	6:12	-6	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Guadalajara B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
11.01.26	Guadalajara B - Azuqueca	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Villarrubia - Guadalajara B	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Guadalajara B - Tarancón	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Pedroñeras - Guadalajara B	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Guadalajara B - Calvo Sotelo Puertollano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWLTL
- CD Marchamalo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
10.01.26	Marchamalo - Sonseca	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Azuqueca - Marchamalo	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Marchamalo - Villarrubia	0:2 ✺
06.12.25	Tarancón - Marchamalo	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Marchamalo - Pedroñeras	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 18
06.09.25	Marchamalo - Guadalajara B	1:1

Guadalajara B - Marchamalo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide