Match Info

Liga de Ascenso - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 2 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Coyella Fonseca (San José)


	Guadalupe		Turrialba

	1	X	2
	1.17	6.6	11
	1.2	6.55	12.21	Watch
	1.14	6.45	13
	1.17	6.6	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.31)	6.55 ↑ (4.75)	11.8 ↑ (8.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guadalupe
78.3%

Draw
14%

Turrialba
7.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.7%

19.2%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3%

18.3%

10.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guadalupe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guadalupe's performance.

Turrialba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guadalupe than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Turrialba than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Guadalupe - Turrialba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
21', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+5', 🟥,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Ascenso (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guadalupe won 4.

Guadalupe is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Turrialba has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Guadalupe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Guadalupe is indisputable favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Guadalupe won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 25:9 (average 3.6:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Guadalupe won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:1 (average 3.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guadalupe FC
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
23.03.25	Limon Black Star - Guadalupe	1:0 ✺
20.03.25	Guadalupe - Cariari Pococí	0:0 ✺
17.03.25	Santa Cruz PFA - Guadalupe	0:1 ✺
10.03.25	Guadalupe - Escorpiones de Belén	3:2 ✺
05.03.25	Desamparados - Guadalupe	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LTWWW
- Municipal Turrialba
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
30.03.25	Turrialba - Limon Black Star	1:3 ✺
23.03.25	Cariari Pococí - Turrialba	3:1 ✺
20.03.25	Turrialba - Santa Cruz PFA	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Escorpiones de Belén - Turrialba	5:3 ✺
10.03.25	Turrialba - Desamparados	1:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
19.02.25	Turrialba - Guadalupe	1:6
19.10.24	Turrialba - Guadalupe	5:1
11.09.24	Guadalupe - Turrialba	2:0
07.04.24	Turrialba - Guadalupe	1:6
22.02.24	Guadalupe - Turrialba	7:0
05.11.23	Guadalupe - Turrialba	2:1
07.09.23	Turrialba - Guadalupe	1:1

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