The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guaireña 42.5%
Draw 28.7%
Encarnación 28.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.4%
27.9%
33.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
27.3%
33.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guaireña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
Encarnación has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaireña than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Encarnación than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Guaireña - Encarnación Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Arce A. ⚽,
29', (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 14th and 16th).
Guaireña is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Encarnación is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Guaireña may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Guaireña has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:10 (averaging 1.6:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Guaireña against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:4 goals (averaging 2.5:2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
14
Guairena
30
7
8
15
23:38
-15
29
16
Encarnacion FC
30
7
5
18
30:44
-14
26
Last Results with these Odds
Guaireña - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 38.36%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.