Match Info

COSTA RICA: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 18

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Chorotega (Nicoya)

Referee: Montero R. (Cos)


	Guanacasteca		Guadalupe

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	4
	1.77	3.4	3.75
	1.7	3.65	4
	1.83	3.77	4.21
	1.8	3.4	4
	1.8	3.66	3.88	Watch
	1.73	3.8	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.85)	3.61 ↓ (3.74)	3.98 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guanacasteca
51.6%

Draw
25.4%

Guadalupe
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

25%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

24.3%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guanacasteca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Guadalupe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guanacasteca than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guadalupe than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Guanacasteca - Guadalupe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guanacasteca won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Guanacasteca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Guanacasteca is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Guanacasteca won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Guanacasteca won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Guanacasteca
Costa Rican Primera Division
08.04.23	Sporting San José - Guanacasteca	2:0 ✺
01.04.23	Guanacasteca - Pérez Zeledón	2:1 ✺
28.03.23	Guanacasteca - Herediano	4:0 ✺
24.03.23	Alajuelense - Guanacasteca	2:0 ✺
19.03.23	Cartagines - Guanacasteca	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWLL
- Guadalupe FC
Costa Rican Primera Division
10.04.23	Guadalupe - Municipal Grecia	1:1 ✺
03.04.23	Puntarenas FC - Guadalupe	1:2 ✺
30.03.23	Cartagines - Guadalupe	3:2 ✺
24.03.23	Guadalupe - Sporting San José	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	Deportivo Saprissa - Guadalupe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
12.02.23	Guadalupe - Guanacasteca	1:1
14.08.22	Guadalupe - Guanacasteca	1:0
11.08.22	Guanacasteca - Guadalupe	1:2
15.05.22	Guadalupe - Guanacasteca	0:0
01.04.22	Guanacasteca - Guadalupe	1:2
01.10.21	Guadalupe - Guanacasteca	1:1
07.08.21	Guanacasteca - Guadalupe	0:1

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